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An n-Sector Migration Simulation

I finished my work on migration simulation for the Research-Unit Economics.

It's based on a Two-Sector Migration Model inspired by Harris and Todaro and applied Agent Based Simulation aligned to Axtell’s Emergence of Firms to build "An n-Sector Migration Simulation".

Here is the abstract:
"Workers, considering costs of migration, tend to migrate to sectors where they expect higher wages. In revers, firms trying to increase profits, migrate to sectors with lower wages. The result of their combined movement determins wages in each sector. This Agent Based Simulation applies an inductive behavior models with various strategies for wage expectations, and yields patterns of migration in an n-sector scenario."

Here are some results:

Download: http://www.derbaum.com/n-sector-migration.pdf

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Nomads work and love

This weeks issue of The Economist is running a special report on mobile telecoms: Nomads at last.

The report describes how today's ubiquitous mobile technology allows us to work, live and love like nomads (wanderer), without staying long in the same place.

Our documents, spreadsheets, contacts, calenders,... are always available online in the cloud. So unlike previous nomads, we don't have to carry much weight. An iPhone like device may do. Where ever we are we can sit down, do some work, play around with ideas or catch-up with customers, coworkers, or friends and family.

Who wants to be at the office from 9 to 5? If I'm working, does it matter if I sweat in a cubicle or enjoy fresh air in the park? Of course it does! And reading this report just gave me additional encouragement to stay out of that cubicle.


Surely this beach has Wifi

For some an office may be great to get focused, while others prefer a beach. If you find yourself bored or in need for inspiration, get moving. (Right now, I'm in a coffee shop, but that beach looks inviting). In the end, where we are becomes secondary. What counts is that we get things done and spend time with those we love.

Or, as Sigmund Freud put it, Menschen müssen arbeiten und lieben um Erfüllung zu finden (humans must work and love in order to find fulfillment). Mmm, I love it when The Economist runs quotes like that.

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4:30:40

Today, tortured and with tears in my eyes, I finished my first marathon.
I'm pleased with my time (4:30:40). If I keep running, maybe I can beat 4 hours next year.

OK, I will fall asleep now and pray that I can still walk tomorrow.

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Why Economics?

When I was 16, my friend Cornelius and I, bought three billiard tables. We convinced a coffee shop owner to let us put the tables in the back of his café. We told him how much money we expected to earn and promised him half. We were sure the shop owner would have a look, since it was his money as well. Everyday after school we went to the cafe and thought about ways to improve our business. We cleaned up, bought better cues, a coin changer and even installed new lightning (the green ones in the picture). We where highly motivated because we saw the reward in the coin collector every day.
Intuitively we understood the working of the free market. We improved the lot of our players and the coffee owner, simply by pursuing our own self-interest. It was a win-win-win situation.
Unfortunately after only a year we had to stop our business. Our parents insisted that school was more important. (Through this, we learned how regulations can limit the market.)
After high school, I decided to study information systems but never left economics. I took all available economics courses and read every book I could get my hands on. Now, after being close to finishing my master in information systems, I want to proceed with a master in economics.
In my future career I hope to pursue both, my interests in economics and computer science.

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Marathon Training

I would like to run the Vienna Marathon on April 29th. After reading about marathon training and talking to Lutzi -my trainer- I came up with the following schedule:

Week Mo Tu We Th Fr Sa So
8.-14.Jan 10km 8km 8km 14km done
15.-21.Jan 10km 8km 8km 15km done
22.-28.Jan 10km 9km 8km 16km done
29.-4.Feb 10km 9km 9km 17km
5.-11.Feb 11km 9km 9km 18km
12.-18.Feb 11km 10km 9km 19km
19.-25.Feb 11km 10km 10km 20km
26.-4.Mar 11km 10km 10km 21km
5.-11.Mar 12km 10km 10km 22km
12.-18.Mar 12km 10km 10km 23km done
19.-25.Mar 12km 10km 10km 24km
26.-1.Apr 12km 10km 10km 25km
2.-8.Apr 12km 10km 10km 15km
9.-15.Apr 10km 8km 8km 14km done
16.-22.Apr 4km 4km 4km done
23.-29.Apr 4km 4km 4km 42km done

Additionally Lutzi recommends noodles, potatoes, fish, eggs, chocolate and bananas. Which sounds like my current diet anyway.

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My Goals for 2007

Writing down goals gives focus and motivation. Telling everyone about it, motivates even more, by inducing peer pressure.
Here is my take for 2007:

  1. Finish Master of Science (MSc).
  2. Find new customers for software projects.
  3. Run a marathon in less than 5hours. First chance, April 29th in Vienna.
  4. Improve derbaum.com so actual people care to read.
  5. Enjoy doing so!
Yes, I changed my goals during the year. So what? Things happen, one needs to adapt.

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running (2)

As promised, here are my results from the last four weeks of running. I achieved two of three goals. 20 runs and 106km. But my average speed of 6.10min/km is higher than the aimed for 5.30min. Therefor, I will adjust my goals for the next four weeks. For a while, I felt pretty good about my running. But today I read about those monks who run 100km every day! Well, maybe next time :-)

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Incentives for running

Four weeks ago, Samuel and I started to run. Five times a week. 30minutes each. From the start we knew, motivation is key. We both want to run. Why not motivate each other? If Samuel runs, I pay him 10€. If I run, he pays me. If we both run, no one has to pay. A very simple schema, but surprisingly motivating. Each week we kept running. Attracted by our success, this week, Johannes joined and I hope more will follow.

Last week I bought additional motivation. It's called Nike+iPod and snaps on your iPod and in your running shoe (doesn't have to be a Nike). It measures your time, speed and distance. And it gives sexy voice feedback on the run. After running when you connect your iPod with your PC (doesn't have to be a Mac), you get stats which of course you have to beat next time.

With Nike+iPod I set myself three goals for the next four weeks:

I will report back on how it went. read it

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Magnum P.I. Night (3)

Pictures from the Magnum P.I. Night on October 14th.


Peter, Stefan


Brigitte, Christine, Konrad / Stefan, Johannes, Patrick


Magnum / Minji, Mijin, Eunji

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Magnum P.I. Night (2)

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Magnum P.I. Night (1)

I'm soon hosting a Magnum Night.

For those who don't remember. Magnum is a private investigator (P.I.) in Hawaii. His lifestyle represents every man’s dream. He comes and goes as he pleases, works only when he wants to, has the almost unlimited use of a Ferrari 308 GTS as well as many other luxuries, keeps a mini-fridge with a seemingly endless supply of beer, comes into contact with countless beautiful women (who are often his clients or victims in the cases he solves).

While waiting for the Magnum Night, enjoy the title music:

Magnum, P.I. was first aired in 1980.

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patrick@derbaum.com

Looking at the smart user interface of Googles email client Gmail always tempted me to switch. But getting a new email address is, well, a pain in the... Except when the new address is much cooler. Allowing me to use my domain name (derbaum.com) to share out email address convinced me to create patrick@derbaum.com. As you can see in the screenshot below, the interface is very much the same as with a regular Gmail account, exept a diverent logo and a link to manage this domain. Of course, emails send to my old address will be forwarded to this new address.

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Lift that Laundry Machine

Today I got a laundry machine from Julia. Joe's sister. Thanks to Wolfgang, Johannes and a friendly cran operater, we got the machine installed in no time.

Lift that Laundry Machine

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Hamburg

This week Johannes, Stefan, Konrad and Patrick took off to visit Luzi in Hamburg.

A fun and thanks to sparnight quite cheap trip. But the city was a mess (see below). Trash everywhere. Garbage collectors are striking to protect there 38.5 hour work week against a 40 hour work week.

At first sight unrelated, Stefan found some great underwear at Wal-Mart. Why is that exiting? Well Wal-Mart itself is exiting. I just started collecting facts for a paper about Wal-Mart's data warehouse and I'm blown away. This single company drives world wide productivity in ways never seen before. Simply by demanding everyday low prices.

Sadly this pressure scars workers all over Europe into striks aging the open economy.

Addition: After eight years in Germany, WalMart announced in July 2006 that they will aboundant their business in Germany.

Happy Birthday Lutzi!



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Schneespaß in Oberösterreich

Schnee Spass in Oberoesterreich mit Samuel und Patrick

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PATMAN Shirt

For Christmas, from my sister Pia. A seriously cool PATMAN shirt.

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Flipper

To my big surprise, I found out that Joe really is a dolphin.
Johannes Gartner der Delphin
more evidence

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Hamburg

Happy birthday Lutzy!
Sure thing we had to get on a plane to stop by and celebrate.
Lutzy, Pia and Bettl

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Schlittenfahrt


Zu Fasching nach dem Pajamaball gabs dann noch eine lustige Schlittenfahrt.

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Die Kaffeesieder feiern


Sehr elegant aber von tausenden Leuten völlig überlaufen.

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Winterbeginn

It's getting cold in Austria and everybody is happy to see the wintertime. Sure thing we had to celebrated the start of this great time.

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23rd

We partied a little late for my birthday, but with an apartment full of friends, fun and music!


Karo Patrick Peter

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Der König der Welt

all movies

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Grillfest zu Pfingsten

After a quick introduction from Samuel, we see some fun rides after our BBQ. It was quite a relaxing weekend.

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Quicky

mov, summer quarter, good bye Marokkanergasse, scheduling and OR

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Frühling!

Zurück in Oberösterreich beginnt die Frühlingsarbeit. Gemüsebeet bestellen und Holz stapeln und ich freu mich schon aufs Wiesenski.

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Silvester in Flachau

Wiedereinmal trafen sich Pia, Christina, Lutz, Brisch und Bettl um Silvester zu feiern.

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Yet another Ballnight

Exactly one year ago Konrad visited me for a Viennese Ball night. Now he is back again, for the very same ball in the Hofburg. It's nice to have a little tradition. I'm looking forward to see you again next year.

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The Secret Ingredient

We did it again! A quick fun movie about our new years party in the countryside of little Austria.

It all started with a pre party on the 29th of December and we partied until the new year.
Thanks to everybody for joining!

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Winter Holidays

This winter I spend my holidays in Oberösterreich with my friends (Pia, Lutzy, Thuy, Christina, Nicol, Nikki, Nico, Peter, Alex and Andy). It was fun and we danced till the end of 2002!
A new year, a new Macworld (Monday)!
Since the winter semester is almost over, there are many exams this month.

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new apartment

I finally got a new apartment last week! It's in the Marokkanergasse 10 (Tür 7).

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Café in Palo Alto

Ok, I miss my Austrian Café's. By now everybody should know that.
People try to help me and point me to there favorite Cafés in town and so, every time I give it another try to find a Café which fulfills my few basic needs.
It's Palo Alto, for gods sack, a small town yes, but one of the richest one in the world. There must be some place serving descent coffee. Yes, I like Starbucks coffee, but the coffee is not served. So what are my basic needs? The first point cuts 80% of the coffee shops I tried. Is it to much to ask for a nice cup to serve a hot drink? Next, newspapers are missing, this kick's out the rest, and service is something which I just dream of, until I get back to my Cafe Prückel.
So why is that? Is it because of missing demand, do Americans prefer the freedom to get there coffee them self, waiting in line? Perhaps to chat up other people in line???
This bothers me, so I keep on talking with American's about that. Asking why? I try to explain, why Austrian Cafés have better service, but nobody seems to get my point.
One explanation, starts with the waiter in mind. The idea of serving coffee, or serving in general, is labeled as a poor job. Which nobody likes to do. Unlike in Austria where we call the waiter Herr Ober, which is considered the highest position in the shop. So being the Ober is something people can be proud about. You can tell, just by watching the Ober. His movement has to follow a certain style and arrogance. He knows, it's something not everybody could do. He has a tradition to keep up. Vienna is known for there Café's and it is his responsibility to keep the high standard up, for another century.
So as long as I'm here I have to live with this barbarian baristas, who drink there coffee in paper cups, while walking the street.
→ On 23 Jul 2002, 09:24 am commented wenyu to this story: Very funny. IÁÏm not sure this would make you feel better or worse. But I didn't find any satisfying coffee house in P.A. during the year I stayed at Stanford. Neither did my classmate from China. (we made joint effort in the search sometimes.) And my standards on coffee house are apparently not as high as yours. Good luck.
→ On 28 Jul 2002, 03:36 pm commented veronique to this story: hi patrick, perhaps we could meet at "in einem sonntag im august" again? berlin misses you!!!! konrad and i are going to visit you in vienna as soon as possible to get to know the wunderful atmosphere of vienna«s coffeehouses.... 20 hugs, veronique

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Traunstein

Two days ago Andy and Patrick climbed the Traunstein!
Patrick on the montain

We talked about this cliffhanger since 2 years and now we were finally brave enough.

On 14 May 2002, 09:32 pm commented Andreas Kraml to this story:
Nach langen diskutieren und analysieren haben wir uns nun endlich überwunden den Traunstein zu erklimmen. Da die positiven Aspekte dieser Erklimmung der Art vielzählig sind zählt ist es nur sinnenvoll den Willen freien Lauf zu lassen um weiter Berge zu erkunden. Sportlich voll gefordert und geistig mit dem Berg verschmolzen lässt sich so manche Hürde besser meistern.

Für Patrick,
dein Freund
Andi
Patrick und Andy

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Romania

I didn't add a new story since more than a week! Why?
Well I spend a week in Romania.

We, Cornelius, Daniel and I, started our trip on Thu (4th April) very late and came back yesterday (10th April).
We didn't plan to stay that long. But unexpected things turned up, so we became prisoners of Romania. But let me start from the beginning. After a night of driving we arrived the first city in Romania, Arad just in time for breakfast. We looked around a bit before we drove on to Timisoara where the unexpected happend. While we drank a coffee in a bar somebody stole Daniels passport. Ops, we can't drive out of Romania without a passport. So we had to go to Bucharest and find the Austrian Embassy. On the way to Bucharest we stopped in Sibiu and Brasov where we spend the weekend. It took until Tue (9th April) to get a new passport. Anyway, now we are back and yes we had a good time!

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Die Lipizzaner der Gastronomie

Gefunden in der Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 04.01.2003, Nr. 3 / Seite 11
Besonders treffend analysiert fand ich folgenden Teil: "Der "gute Gast" zeichnet sich dadurch aus, da§ er niemals und unter keinerlei Umständen gegen die vorgegebene Etikette aufbegehrt oder dem Ober gar "Ezzes" geben will. Er bleibt, ganz im Gegenteil, stets bemüht, sein Wohlwollen mittels guter Manieren und diskret verabreichter Trinkgelder zu erhaschen. Kurzum, der "gute Gast" beweise immer seine lang geübte Anpassungsfähigkeit, die ihrerseits den milden Stolz des Obers ausmache, heist es im Vorwort zum Buch "Kaffeehäuser in Wien" von Thomas Martinek. Der "schlechte Gast" hingegen bleibt nach diesem Urteil ein Phänomen der Kaffeehausgeschichte, an dem schon die grö§ten Geister gescheitert sind. Betreten nach seinem verschollenen Bohnengetränk Ausschau haltend, das nicht und nicht kommen will, während ringsum alles genusvoll an den Tassen nippt, wird das Unglück des "schlechten Gasts" vollkommen, reklamiert er vielleicht nach zwanzig Minuten vergeblichen Wartens völlig deplaziert seine Bestellung - peinliches Schweigen. Nicht nur der Befragte, auch sämtliche seiner "guten Gäste" werden ihre Blicke sogleich angewidert abwenden - der Ober, um seine Dominanz anschaulich unter Beweis zu stellen, jene, um sich ihrer wohlerworbenen Privilegien zu erfreuen, heist es dort weiter."

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Powerweekend

An diesem Wochenende war ich so produktiv wie schon lange nicht mehr. Zig stunden am Stück programmiert das zeigt mir einiges: (a) was man mit der richtigen Begeisterung alles erreichen kann (b) das ich einen Lesestuhl habe der sich super zum Programmieren eignet (c) wie wichtig kleine Erfolgserlebnise sind (ich hatte viele Kleine und Grosse).

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Tagesablauf

Leider habe ich immer noch keine Zeit gefunden mich mehr mit KLDB auseinander zu setzen. Vor allem wegen der Matura vor der ich ja unmittelbar stehe. Aber ich möchte diese Seite nützen um weiter einige meiner Ideen zusammen zu fassen. Fakt ist das ich in sehr naher Zukunft auf das neue Mac OS X umsteigen werde, daher möchte ich mich nicht weiter mit Mac OS 9 beschäftigen. Somit ist das auf die kommende Zukunft aufgeschoben. Auserdem möchte ich mir einen Mac Server zulegen um dort Mac OS X Server laufen zu lassen. Aber ich glaube das geht jetzt alles ein bisschen schnell... Egal in naher Zukunft heisst es (1) EDT, (2) Matura Projekt, (3) HIT, mein KLDB und meine weiteren Projekte bzw. Ziele sind jetzt zweitrangig. Aber natürlich möchte ich sie nicht ganz vergessen.

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Neustart von pat @ stanford

Zurück in Wien ist meine schöne URL aus Stanford (patrick.stanford.edu) futsch. Aber mir hat das Layout gut gefallen und auch die Cronologische Anordnung von Dingen die mir gerade durch denn Kopf gingen. Wer sich zurück erinnert an die Zeiten als ich die Webseite über die Bock Aktionen betreute, dem kommt dieses Schema vielleicht bekannt vor. Nun ich hab dieses Schema natürlich nicht neu erfunden es hat etwas von einem Tagebuch finde ich, nur das es total öffentlich ist und das Passierte teilweise auch extra für die Öffentlichkeit ausgesucht ist. Doch bin ich nun nichtmehr in Stanford sondern in Wien möchte aber wieder zurück in einigen Jahren wenn ich bereit bin zu studierten. Bis es so weit ist muss ich einiges tun, das es jemals so weit kommt... Diese Aktivitäten (und mehr) möchte ich auf dieser Seite sammeln.

Nachtrag vom Februar 2006: Dieses "Schema" hat inzwischen einen wohl bekannten Namen: Blog.

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Alxometer 2

alias Alxinger-Gschnas alias Alxinger-Schass

Am Samstag, den 23.1.99 rief Tanja bei Patrick an und erzählte vom Alxometer 2. Alle waren sofort dabei, Patrick verständigte gleich Andi, Olivia und Stivi. Die 3 sollten sofort dorthin kommen, denn jeder wusste wie die erste Version vom Alxometer verlaufen war. Voller Euforie machten wir uns auf den Weg, doch Patrick musste sich noch in Schale werfen: das PRIVAT-PARTY-OUTFIT war gefragt.
Dort angekommen, stellten wir bald fest, dass das Alxometer in Wirklichkeit das Alxinger Gschnas war, und dass der Altersschnitt im Vergleich zum Alxometer etwa um 50 Jahre hoeher war.

Patrick schloss schnell Freundschaft mit den etwas reiferen Leuten, auch Peter passte sich an die etwas gediegeneren Umgangsformen an.

Eine coole Band spielte gross auf! Der Liedsänger koennte sicherlich den Songkontest gewinnen, aber egal.
Bald erfreuten uns Andy, Olivia und Stivi mit ihrer Anwesenheit, der Abend schien doch noch einigermaflen interessant zu werden.

Durch die Offenheit und Direktheit von Stefan Trimmel freundeten wir uns mit einem offenbar türkischen Herrn an, der uns gleich fragte, ob wir ein Problem hätten, Stivi verneinte.

Patrick wusste zwar schon, dass Andy den Bock der Woche geschossen hatte, doch er wollte es nochmals versuchen. Um K... vom letzten Alxometer zu ueberbieten, musste er sich jedoch gewaltig anstrengen, doch ihm gelang auch dies: der Freund der Schwester der Zwillinge, massierte ihn und gab ihm dann auch noch einen Kuss, okay ein Bussi, aber direkt auf den Mund! Patrick schien leicht verwirrt, aber dass kann täuschen, oder?

Als alle die nette ältere Dame, die Patrick ihre Handtasche zeigte, verabschieden wollten, blieb Nico am Tisch. Promt machte ihn eine FZJ an. Margot war ihr äh werter Name, ihre Telefonnummer ist 01-48-11-783. Nico verzog sich gleich mit ihr und wollte sein Mittagessen mit ihr teilen, jedoch verhinderte der Sicherheitsabstand alles. Leider gibts hierzu kein Foto.

Am Heimweg wollten wir uns noch gebührend von den "Veranstaltern", "Sicherheitsleuten", und netten reiferen Herrschaften verabschieden und machten Fussballstadion-Stimmung. Seltsamer Weise waren nicht alle begeistert.

Alxometer 2, we will never forget you, but please don' t get copied anymore!

written by Peter censored by Patrick

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